Today it was announced that the Mars mission I've been working will be delayed. Instead of launching next year as planned, it will now launch in 2011. Much of the hardware is already built, but there were several loose ends they were working on and the schedule was already tight. Finally, a problem with one of the rover components was found that would require 3 more months. Unfortunately, the opportunities to go to Mars only come every 26 months when, quite literally, the planets align in the proper geometry. Those 3 months push us out of this launch window, and force the two year delay. It will be extra time put to good use for further testing, but it is dismaying to many of us who were looking forward to landing in 2010.
On my very first day, working for NASA back in 2000, I showed up and my boss told me of a new project that we were helping on called the Mars Smart Lander. A few experienced Apollo-era engineers were working it in Houston, and I was lucky enough to be assigned to work with them. Even though it's a robotic mission, Johnson Space Center is providing the entry guidance for the mission so it would be the first Mars lander to fly a guided entry to ensure it would land near an interesting target. The other previous landers didn't have guidance, and most of them came in like cannonballs to land wherever on large, open plains. With a guided entry, now we can land close to mountains or canyons or even inside craters!
Back then MSL was supposed to launch in 2005. Soon it was pushed back to 2007. No big deal, as only a few score of people were working the mission concepts. MSL changed its name from Mars Smart Lander to the Mars Science Laboratory. Some technologies under development, such as autonomous hazard detection and avoidance, was cut from the project. I'm glad to see they're now part of their own technology development project that will help both human and robot missions.
When the
Columbia accident occurred, I was working MSL maybe 25% of my time. My mentor was nearly full time on it. Suddenly, both of us were full-time on the accident investigation. Within a few months, he was back to MSL as usual. One of my earlier proposals suddenly came back and took my career in a different direction for 2 years, culminating with the first use of public safety concerns in choosing Shuttle landing opportunities during
Discovery's mission in 2005.
When my mentor decided to retire in 2005, I was at a crossroads. I had been in my area for 5 years, had just completed a high-visibility project, and if I was going to make a transition to another area it was a good time to do it.
But Mars...
If I moved on to do something else, someone else would do MSL entry guidance. I can think of one or two guys I would have recommended, and they would have been great. But Mars is something I had always been looking forward to, and I remember being very excited my first day when I learned I'd be working with JPL on one of their missions.
I decided. I was in for another 5 years, since MSL was to land in 2010.
And then things really took off! MSL went from being a mission concept into Preliminary Design -- a real mission! I spent 4 months out at JPL, working closely with the team, as we prepared for our review. The entire team was essentially told, "best review ever". Then a year later we were at the Critical Design Review, which MSL passed. Right after that, Carina was born. And right after that, MSL found in testing of its original heat shield material that it was not robust enough. Which required several months of study to determine what we could do if we were stuck with the original material while other groups researched alternatives. We ended up going with a newer material.
Some other issues popped up during testing. Some were settled quickly, some not. Finding issues is common when you're building something new for the first time. In the last few months, the project and its reviewers were aware that there was little schedule margin to make the 2009 launch opportunity to Mars. Still, it looked like we could do it, assuming no other major hiccups.
Well, there was a major hiccup, as I described at the beginning. Better to do it right than to rush it. Especially since we've spent nearly $2 billion.
And now we will launch in 2011, to land in 2012. I think my mind is still considering what this will mean. I realized last night, as I was playing with Carina, that she'll be 5 years old and might understand enough about what our team is trying to do, and get to watch how well we do. And remember it.
I would love to share that with her.
Labels: rocket science